• Bikramjit Singh

The present empirical study is confined to large scale industrial units of Punjab. The study covers district wise distribution of employment in the large scale industries of Punjab for the period ranging from 2003-04 to 2013-14 during the period under study. It is revealed that the least growth in the number of units has been witnessed in D2 where the number of persons employed in the industry have increased from 7299 persons employed in 2003-04 to 7374 persons employed in 2009-10 at CAGR of 0.67 percent, but this growth indicates the increase in the number of persons employed in this industry up to the year 2009-10 only because after that this industry was combined with the D1 industry from the year 2010-11. Alternatively, the number of persons employed in the units of D5 industry reduced from 2232 persons employed in 2003-04 to 180 persons employed in the units of this industry in the year 2013-14 at negative CAGR of -34.42 percent(t-value=-1.30). From the point of view of the trend equation, the employment among various units of industries is expected to increase in the year 2020-21 except in the units of D5, D7, D4, D13, D14, D9 and D6, as the units of these industries are also expected to decline by the year 2020-21. This is expected to be followed by D12, D3, D8, D15 and D10 where the numbers of persons employed are expected to increase to 8187 persons, 127007 persons, 14638 persons, 52584 persons and 1442 persons in the year 2020-21 respectively. It is further observed that keeping in view the existing trend equation, it can be predicted that employment in the units of Patiala, Fazilka, Tarn Taran, S.A.S. Nagar, Nawanshahar, Barnala, Hoshiarpur, Bathinda, Ludhiana and Fatehgarh Sahib is expected to increase by 2020-21 to 66914 persons, 4389 persons, 1096 persons, 50169 persons, 5781 persons, 15144 persons, 19373 persons, 7493 persons, 104352 persons, 4511 persons, respectively. On the other hand, employment in Sangrur, Amritsar, Gurdaspur, Jalandhar, Faridkot, Muktsar, Moga, Pathankot and Kapurthala is expected to decrease to 1927 , 2169 , 1104 , 2739 , 415, 1726 , 1682 , 399 and16962 persons respectively in the year 2020-21.

Large Scale Industry, Growth Rate, Employment

"LARGE SCALE INDUSTRY OF PUNJAB: EMPLOYMENT BASIS EMPIRICAL STUDY", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.5, Issue 8, page no.967-978, August-2018, Available :http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR1809A49.pdf

"LARGE SCALE INDUSTRY OF PUNJAB: EMPLOYMENT BASIS EMPIRICAL STUDY", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org | UGC and issn Approved), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.5, Issue 8, page no. pp967-978, August-2018, Available at : http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR1809A49.pdf