UGC Approved Journal no 63975(19)

ISSN: 2349-5162 | ESTD Year : 2014
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Published in:

Volume 9 Issue 7
July-2022
eISSN: 2349-5162

UGC and ISSN approved 7.95 impact factor UGC Approved Journal no 63975

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Published Paper ID:
JETIR2207444


Registration ID:
405666

Page Number

e335-e343

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Title

Developing an efficient statistical model to forecast the Eye surgeries at the Mecca Eye complex hospital

Abstract

A major disease prevalence rate in Sudan is eye disease, which has been spreading rapidly during the last decade. Mecca eye complex hospital treats about (22,150) patients per month for all frequent eye disease patients, in this study, the number of cases in all patients visiting the complex and the six main eye disease surgeries (Cataract - Phaco - Retina - Glaucoma - Cornea and Strabismus) considered for the period from January 2014 up to April 2022 (Series size 100). It was found that the time series analysis showed that it is non-stationary, so the inverse was taken to change it to stationary without requiring different assumptions; in addition, a model was developed to forecast each surgery of each disease. Thus, the study result showed that using the proposed models to forecast the number of cases for each disease in the future was an effective method to forecast future cases by updating the data every period of time and rebuilding the models. In addition, the models clarify that the number of cases is increasing for all disease in the coming few months.

Key Words

Eye disease, ACF, surgeries clinic, Stationary, Forecasting

Cite This Article

"Developing an efficient statistical model to forecast the Eye surgeries at the Mecca Eye complex hospital ", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.9, Issue 7, page no.e335-e343, July-2022, Available :http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2207444.pdf

ISSN


2349-5162 | Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar

An International Scholarly Open Access Journal, Peer-Reviewed, Refereed Journal Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar and Semantic Scholar | AI-Powered Research Tool, Multidisciplinary, Monthly, Multilanguage Journal Indexing in All Major Database & Metadata, Citation Generator

Cite This Article

"Developing an efficient statistical model to forecast the Eye surgeries at the Mecca Eye complex hospital ", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org | UGC and issn Approved), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.9, Issue 7, page no. ppe335-e343, July-2022, Available at : http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2207444.pdf

Publication Details

Published Paper ID: JETIR2207444
Registration ID: 405666
Published In: Volume 9 | Issue 7 | Year July-2022
DOI (Digital Object Identifier):
Page No: e335-e343
Country: khartoum , khartoum , Sudan .
Area: Other
ISSN Number: 2349-5162
Publisher: IJ Publication


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