UGC Approved Journal no 63975(19)

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Published in:

Volume 6 Issue 11
November-2019
eISSN: 2349-5162

UGC and ISSN approved 7.95 impact factor UGC Approved Journal no 63975

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Published Paper ID:
JETIR1907R50


Registration ID:
189131

Page Number

307-314

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Title

LONG TERM LOAD FORCASTING OF ADIGRAT TOWN FOR SUSTAINABLE ENERGY UTILIZATION

Abstract

Abstract: Global electricity demand is projected to increase by 85% in 2040 as living standards rise, economies expand and the need for electrification of society continues. Electricity demand forecasting plays an important role in load allocation and planning for future generation facilities and transmission augmentation. In this paper among the different methods of load forecasting econometric method of load forecasting is implemented. For the work to be real and successful different historical load data were collected from the utility by customer categorical level such as Domestic, commercial and industrial customers, and also historical load driving factors like the number of population and the gross domestic products (GDP) were collected from the central statistical agency and from the Ethiopian Power System Expansion Master Plan Study Respectively. The total GTP of the adigrat town is derived from the total GTP of the country as the whole.Logarithmic (log-log) Regression model was used and Analytical results such as R2 (coefficient of determination), Coefficient of elasticity, P-Values and the residual standard error were observed to determine the validity of any historical relationship.The Main objective of this study is to assess the future energy demand of customers and to ensure onward sustainable energy utilization.

Key Words

Long-term, Demand forecasting, econometric, trading, simulation, customers

Cite This Article

"LONG TERM LOAD FORCASTING OF ADIGRAT TOWN FOR SUSTAINABLE ENERGY UTILIZATION", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.6, Issue 11, page no.307-314, November-2019, Available :http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR1907R50.pdf

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2349-5162 | Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar

An International Scholarly Open Access Journal, Peer-Reviewed, Refereed Journal Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar and Semantic Scholar | AI-Powered Research Tool, Multidisciplinary, Monthly, Multilanguage Journal Indexing in All Major Database & Metadata, Citation Generator

Cite This Article

"LONG TERM LOAD FORCASTING OF ADIGRAT TOWN FOR SUSTAINABLE ENERGY UTILIZATION", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org | UGC and issn Approved), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.6, Issue 11, page no. pp307-314, November-2019, Available at : http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR1907R50.pdf

Publication Details

Published Paper ID: JETIR1907R50
Registration ID: 189131
Published In: Volume 6 | Issue 11 | Year November-2019
DOI (Digital Object Identifier):
Page No: 307-314
Country: Adigrat, North region tigray, Ethiopia .
Area: Science & Technology
ISSN Number: 2349-5162
Publisher: IJ Publication


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