• Dr. Sujeet Kumar Sharma

The outbreak of the coronavirus,covid-19,has been declared a pandemic by the WHO.the structures of social contact critically determine the speed of the infectionand, in the absence of vaccines, the control of these structures through large-scale social distancing measures appears to be the most effective means of mitigation. Here we use an age-structure SIR model with social contact matrices obtained from surveys and Bayesian imputation to study the progress of the covid-19 epidemic in India. The basic reproductive ration RO and it’s time-dependent generalization are computed based on case data, age distribution and social contact structure . The impact of social distancing measures - workplace non –attendance, school closure,lockdown– and their efficacy with durations are then investigated. A three week lockdown is found insufficient to prevent a resurgence and, instead, protocols of distance lockdown with period relaxation are suggested forecasts are provided for the reduction in age –structured morbidity and mortality as a result of these measures. Our study underlines the importance of age and social contact structures in assessing the country – specific impact of mitigatory social distancing.

Potential Impact of Covid-19 on Economic Growth

"Potential Impact of Covid-19 on Economic Growth", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.7, Issue 10, page no.817-820, October-2020, Available :http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2010102.pdf

"Potential Impact of Covid-19 on Economic Growth", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org | UGC and issn Approved), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.7, Issue 10, page no. pp817-820, October-2020, Available at : http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2010102.pdf