UGC Approved Journal no 63975(19)

ISSN: 2349-5162 | ESTD Year : 2014
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Published in:

Volume 8 Issue 6
June-2021
eISSN: 2349-5162

UGC and ISSN approved 7.95 impact factor UGC Approved Journal no 63975

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Published Paper ID:
JETIR2106687


Registration ID:
311249

Page Number

e919-e935

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Title

PREDICTING URBAN LANDUSE CHANGE IN PORT HARCOURT METROPOLIS, RIVER STATE, NIGERIA USING CA-MARKOV MODEL

Abstract

LandSat Images of 1986/87, 2002 and 2018 obtained from the Archives of the United States Geological Survey were used to analysed and predict urban landuse change in Port Harcourt metropolis. Images were supervised and classify into five classes, built- up area, agriculture/cleared land, bare-soil, forest and water using the maximum likelihood classification algorithm. The results revealed that built-up area increases from 7.93% in 1987 to 12.38% in 2002 and 22.47% in 2018, Agriculture/cleared land also increases from 20.92% in 1987, 25.60% in 2002, and 34.18% in 2018. Between 1986/87, 2002 and 2018, built-up area and agricultural/cleared land use increased and gained more persistence than other land use which showed a decline and loss in persistence due to rapid urban expansion and development in the study area. CA-Markov model was used to predict urban land use change for the next 16 years 2018-2034, the predicted result revealed that built-up area will increase from 22.47% in 2018 to 29.0% in 2034 and agriculture/cleared land will increases from 34.18% to 37.0% in 2034. More urban landuse with potential expansion in built-up area and agriculture/cleared land over forest, bare-soil and water in the cities. The study therefore recommended that suitable landuse control measure should be put in place and urban dwellers be involved in land use planning process and implementation of laws.

Key Words

PREDICTING URBAN LANDUSE CHANGE IN PORT HARCOURT METROPOLIS, RIVER STATE, NIGERIA USING CA-MARKOV MODEL

Cite This Article

"PREDICTING URBAN LANDUSE CHANGE IN PORT HARCOURT METROPOLIS, RIVER STATE, NIGERIA USING CA-MARKOV MODEL", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.8, Issue 6, page no.e919-e935, June-2021, Available :http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2106687.pdf

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2349-5162 | Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar

An International Scholarly Open Access Journal, Peer-Reviewed, Refereed Journal Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar and Semantic Scholar | AI-Powered Research Tool, Multidisciplinary, Monthly, Multilanguage Journal Indexing in All Major Database & Metadata, Citation Generator

Cite This Article

"PREDICTING URBAN LANDUSE CHANGE IN PORT HARCOURT METROPOLIS, RIVER STATE, NIGERIA USING CA-MARKOV MODEL", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org | UGC and issn Approved), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.8, Issue 6, page no. ppe919-e935, June-2021, Available at : http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2106687.pdf

Publication Details

Published Paper ID: JETIR2106687
Registration ID: 311249
Published In: Volume 8 | Issue 6 | Year June-2021
DOI (Digital Object Identifier):
Page No: e919-e935
Country: -, -, India .
Area: Engineering
ISSN Number: 2349-5162
Publisher: IJ Publication


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