UGC Approved Journal no 63975(19)
New UGC Peer-Reviewed Rules

ISSN: 2349-5162 | ESTD Year : 2014
Volume 12 | Issue 10 | October 2025

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Published in:

Volume 12 Issue 3
March-2025
eISSN: 2349-5162

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Published Paper ID:
JETIR2503853


Registration ID:
558004

Page Number

i369-i377

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Title

Global Life Expectancy Prediction Using Nonstationary Time Series Models

Abstract

Life expectancy, a critical measure of public health and social progress, indicates the average lifespan of a population and has become essential for shaping healthcare policies, economic planning, and demographic research. Predicting life expectancy trends allows stakeholders to prepare for future population dynamics, allocate resources, and implement necessary interventions effectively. Early Life Expectancy models primarily relied on mortality rates within specific populations; however, advancements in forecasting now emphasize the importance of additional factors—such as education, economic conditions, and healthcare access—in accurately projecting life expectancy trends. In this study, life expectancy values of several countries are forecasted utilizing: Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA), and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) with different differencing order. Then it compares the performance of these methods to understand predicting future life expectancy trends.

Key Words

Life expectancy prediction, Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA), Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), time series analysis, demographic forecasting.

Cite This Article

"Global Life Expectancy Prediction Using Nonstationary Time Series Models", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.12, Issue 3, page no.i369-i377, March-2025, Available :http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2503853.pdf

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2349-5162 | Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar

An International Scholarly Open Access Journal, Peer-Reviewed, Refereed Journal Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar and Semantic Scholar | AI-Powered Research Tool, Multidisciplinary, Monthly, Multilanguage Journal Indexing in All Major Database & Metadata, Citation Generator

Cite This Article

"Global Life Expectancy Prediction Using Nonstationary Time Series Models", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org | UGC and issn Approved), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.12, Issue 3, page no. ppi369-i377, March-2025, Available at : http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2503853.pdf

Publication Details

Published Paper ID: JETIR2503853
Registration ID: 558004
Published In: Volume 12 | Issue 3 | Year March-2025
DOI (Digital Object Identifier):
Page No: i369-i377
Country: Bachupally, Hyderabad, Telangana, India .
Area: Engineering
ISSN Number: 2349-5162
Publisher: IJ Publication


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