UGC Approved Journal no 63975(19)
New UGC Peer-Reviewed Rules

ISSN: 2349-5162 | ESTD Year : 2014
Volume 12 | Issue 10 | October 2025

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Published in:

Volume 12 Issue 5
May-2025
eISSN: 2349-5162

UGC and ISSN approved 7.95 impact factor UGC Approved Journal no 63975

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Published Paper ID:
JETIR2505439


Registration ID:
561903

Page Number

d813-d820

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Title

Machine Learning in Financial Forecasting: Predicting Market Trends and Enabling Informed Investment Decisions

Abstract

Financial markets have always made predicting and investing difficult due to their volatility. Although beneficial, conventional statistical methods occasionally fail to describe modern markets' complex, nonlinear, and highly unpredictable dynamics. Recent advances in Machine Learning (ML) have revolutionized predictive modeling and strategic financial analysis. This study emphasizes the use of sophisticated machine learning algorithms in financial forecasting to identify market movements and help investors make better decisions. Our extensive study and empirical assessment show that machine learning models, particularly those using supervised learning, deep learning, and reinforcement learning, are more flexible and accurate than standard econometric methods. For stock price forecasting, Random Forests and Support Vector Machines excel in classification and regression. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCNs) can properly simulate complex temporal correlations in financial data series to capture short- and long-term market movements. We use historical stock prices, technical indicators, macroeconomic factors, news mood, and social media trends in our research. Preprocessing procedures like feature engineering, normalization, and dimensionality reduction increase data quality and model performance. Our research use TensorFlow, PyTorch, and Scikit-Learn to ensure reproducibility and scalability across financial instruments and markets. Machine learning models consistently outperform ARIMA and linear regression in projected accuracy and risk-adjusted returns. Compared to conventional models, LSTM networks forecast significant indices like the S&P 500 with a 15–20% improvement in Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Reinforcement learning agents using Deep Q-Networks (DQN) and Policy Gradient techniques dynamically adjust investment portfolios in response to real-time market swings to maximize returns and minimize risks. Despite these promising results, machine learning in financial forecasting has numerous drawbacks. Overfitting, data espionage, and complex model interpretability remain concerns. Ethical problems surrounding AI in financial markets, such as market manipulation and systemic dangers, require robust regulatory frameworks and responsible AI standards. Many new trends will change ML-driven financial forecasting, according to this research. Improved transparency and confidence in automated investment systems are the goals of Explainable AI (XAI). Hybrid models that combine economic theory and data give better forecasting tools. In addition, Quantum Machine Learning (QML) and Federated Learning offer potential solutions for financial data processing complexity and privacy. Machine Learning has transformed financial forecasting, enabling investors to navigate market unpredictability with greater agility and insight. Machine learning models help financial institutions and investors make data-driven, strategic choices by analyzing and predicting market activity. A balanced approach to technological, ethical, and regulatory issues is needed to fully realise machine learning's potential in banking. This work enhances existing conversation and provides practical insights for future intelligent financial systems.

Key Words

Machine Learning, Financial Forecasting, Market Trends, Investment Decisions, LSTM, Reinforcement Learning, Algorithmic Trading

Cite This Article

"Machine Learning in Financial Forecasting: Predicting Market Trends and Enabling Informed Investment Decisions", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.12, Issue 5, page no.d813-d820, May-2025, Available :http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2505439.pdf

ISSN


2349-5162 | Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar

An International Scholarly Open Access Journal, Peer-Reviewed, Refereed Journal Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar and Semantic Scholar | AI-Powered Research Tool, Multidisciplinary, Monthly, Multilanguage Journal Indexing in All Major Database & Metadata, Citation Generator

Cite This Article

"Machine Learning in Financial Forecasting: Predicting Market Trends and Enabling Informed Investment Decisions", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org | UGC and issn Approved), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.12, Issue 5, page no. ppd813-d820, May-2025, Available at : http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2505439.pdf

Publication Details

Published Paper ID: JETIR2505439
Registration ID: 561903
Published In: Volume 12 | Issue 5 | Year May-2025
DOI (Digital Object Identifier):
Page No: d813-d820
Country: -, -, India .
Area: Engineering
ISSN Number: 2349-5162
Publisher: IJ Publication


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