UGC Approved Journal no 63975(19)
New UGC Peer-Reviewed Rules

ISSN: 2349-5162 | ESTD Year : 2014
Volume 12 | Issue 10 | October 2025

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Published in:

Volume 12 Issue 7
July-2025
eISSN: 2349-5162

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JETIR2507196


Registration ID:
564155

Page Number

b837-b853

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Title

The Impact of Some Selected Economic Variables on Nigerian Gross Domestic Product: An Application of Vector Autoregressive Model.

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of selected economic variables on Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) using a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model. The variables considered include exchange rate, inflation rate, government expenditure, foreign direct investment, interest rate, and crude oil prices. The analysis utilizes time series data from 1986 to 2024, sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria and World Bank databases. Stationarity tests confirm that most variables are integrated of order one, while VAR model estimation reveals significant dynamic relationships between the variables. The results indicate that exchange rate, government expenditure, and foreign direct investment have positive impacts on GDP, while inflation rate and interest rate exhibit negative effects. Crude oil prices show a mixed impact. The study’s findings have implications for monetary and fiscal policy formulation in Nigeria, highlighting the need for coordinated policy interventions to promote economic growth and stability.

Key Words

Variable, Autoregressive, Inflation, Government, Expenditure.

Cite This Article

"The Impact of Some Selected Economic Variables on Nigerian Gross Domestic Product: An Application of Vector Autoregressive Model.", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.12, Issue 7, page no.b837-b853, July-2025, Available :http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2507196.pdf

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2349-5162 | Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar

An International Scholarly Open Access Journal, Peer-Reviewed, Refereed Journal Impact Factor 7.95 Calculate by Google Scholar and Semantic Scholar | AI-Powered Research Tool, Multidisciplinary, Monthly, Multilanguage Journal Indexing in All Major Database & Metadata, Citation Generator

Cite This Article

"The Impact of Some Selected Economic Variables on Nigerian Gross Domestic Product: An Application of Vector Autoregressive Model.", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org | UGC and issn Approved), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.12, Issue 7, page no. ppb837-b853, July-2025, Available at : http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2507196.pdf

Publication Details

Published Paper ID: JETIR2507196
Registration ID: 564155
Published In: Volume 12 | Issue 7 | Year July-2025
DOI (Digital Object Identifier):
Page No: b837-b853
Country: -, -, India .
Area: Engineering
ISSN Number: 2349-5162
Publisher: IJ Publication


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