• TUBA JAMAL
• AMIT KUMAR

This paper discusses about the irresistible approach of COVID-19 pandemic on the tourism sector of Bihar. COVID-19 majorly influenced Bihar's tourism sector, leading to the disruption in the plans for growth and development in one of India's richest historical state. With restrictions in travel, important destinations like Bodh Gaya, Nalanda, and Rajgir saw significant fall in tourist inflow, leading to temporary closure of hotels, guesthouses, and travel agencies. Bihar, known for its cultural and religious importance, saw a significant withdrawal in revenue and employment opportunities in the tourism industry, affecting local communities that are dependent on tourist footfall. The current paper analyses the immediate effects of COVID-19 on Bihar tourism particularly, losses incurred in terms of tourist footfall in 2020 and 2021. Some immediate effects of COVID-19 on Bihar tourism such as Loss of Livelihoods, Decline in Revenue, loss through cancellation of Bookings and Reservations, Impact on Hospitality Industry, Closure of Tourist Sites, Adaptation and Innovation etc., are briefly discussed. The losses incurred in terms of tourist footfall in 2020 and 2021 is shown through scatter plot whose insights are discussed. This paper also forecasts the arrival of tourists from the year 2018 to 2023 if COVID has not happened. Based on the finding of this time-series data, the comparison is done with the actual data and the leap is found. A short discussion on UCL and LCL is also done. The forecasting is done with the help of SPSS software and MS. Excel ToolPak feature. Lastly the paper discusses some insights and provides for the knowledge to take notes for the policymakers which will help in making recovery strategies.

COVID-19, Forecasting, SPSS, time-series data, UCL & LCL

"From Boom to Bust: Analyzing Footfall Decrease in Bihar Tourism during COVID-19", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.12, Issue 9, page no.f40-f45, September-2025, Available :http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2509506.pdf

"From Boom to Bust: Analyzing Footfall Decrease in Bihar Tourism during COVID-19", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org | UGC and issn Approved), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.12, Issue 9, page no. ppf40-f45, September-2025, Available at : http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2509506.pdf