• Dr. Asaram Sitaram Jadhav

Abstract: The demographic transition in India reflects a complex and multi-phased transformation influenced by historical, social, economic, and policy-driven factors. This paper applies the Demographic Transition Model (DTM) to analyze India’s population dynamics from 1901 to 2101, highlighting shifts in birth and death rates, population growth, and fertility trends. India’s demographic journey can be categorized into five stages—from the pre-modern regime characterized by high mortality and fertility rates to a projected phase of population stabilization and eventual decline. Using historical census data and projection models, the study examines national trends alongside state-level variations, demonstrating how regional socio-economic disparities shape differential demographic trajectories. Southern states like Kerala and Tamil Nadu have achieved advanced stages of transition, while northern states such as Bihar and Uttar Pradesh remain in earlier phases. The analysis also explores the socio-economic implications of India’s demographic future, including aging populations, shrinking fertility, and the policy challenges of managing both population growth and decline. By integrating demographic data, projection methods, and regional analysis, this paper provides a comprehensive understanding of India’s demographic transformation and its future population landscape

Keywords: Demographic Transition Model (DTM), Population Dynamics, Fertility and Mortality Trends, Population Projection, Socio-Economic Development, Urbanization etc.

"Demographic Transition of India: Trends and Future Population Projections", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.12, Issue 11, page no.d30-d37, November-2025, Available :http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2511304.pdf

"Demographic Transition of India: Trends and Future Population Projections", International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (www.jetir.org | UGC and issn Approved), ISSN:2349-5162, Vol.12, Issue 11, page no. ppd30-d37, November-2025, Available at : http://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2511304.pdf